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More comprehensive samples suggest around one in 32 for the SAR cards and roughly one in 12 for the AR cards, so I think I probably just got a little unlucky

Each ETB typically includes: Booster Packs: 811 packs (sometimes more in Pokmon Center editions) from the featured set, giving you a shot at rare pulls and chase cards

Sort Card Type Morelull #16Common $0.18 Morelull #97Common $0.28 Morelull #92Common $0.24 Morelull #147Common $0.35 Morelull #79Common $0.07 Morelull #8Common $0.06 Morelull #2Common $0.13 Morelull #34Common $0.58 Morelull #4Common $1.53 Morelull #36Common $0.74 Morelull #75None $1.67 Morelull #39Common $1.00 Morelull #7Common $1.75 Morelull (Holo Common) #3Common $0.45 Morelull #7Common $1.75 Morelull #75None $1.67 Morelull #4Common $1.53 Morelull #39Common $1.00 Morelull #36Common $0.74 Morelull #34Common $0.58 Morelull (Holo Common) #3Common $0.45 Morelull #147Common $0.35 Morelull #97Common $0.28 Morelull #92Common $0.24

Then you get a wildcard thats a guaranteed foil for card 14, with the idea being that players have more of a chance to get chase cards from these packs

25 new-to-Magiccards in each deck

Chart shows the price of Pikachu ex #132 at the end of each month going back as long as we have tracked the item.